华南气温变化与ENSO的关系
RELATIONSHIP OF ENSO TO TEMPERATURE VARIATION IN SOUTH CHINA
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摘要: 本文用合成统计方法和谱分析方法探讨了华南气温与ENSO的关系。结果表明,厄尔尼诺年前一年冬季、当年春季和前汛期华南气温以偏冷为主;厄尔尼诺年当年冬季、次年春季和前汛期华南气温以偏暖为主。反厄尔尼诺年冬春季和前汛期华南气温变化与厄尔尼诺年相反。谱分析表明,广州月平均气温2—3年的振荡周期与ENSO关系密切。Abstract: The relationship of air temperature in South China to ENSO is investigated using composite statistics and spectral method. The former analysis shows that the temperature is anomalously colder in the winter just prior to, and spring and "early flood season" within an EINino year; it is warmer, on the other hand, in the winter of, and spring and the season just following an EINino year; it undertakes reverse variation in the winter,spring and the flood season of an anti-EINino year. The latter method reveals a close association of ENSO with a 2-3 year oscillation for monthly mean temperature in Guangzhou.
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