穿越副高北上的台风路径与环境场的关系
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TYPHOONS MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND ENVIRONMENTAL FIELDS
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摘要: 对穿越副高北上的台风路径与环境场的多种参数的关系进行统计分析表明:初始环境场某些参数的一定分布与变化有利于台风未来偏北移行,穿越副高。这些参数可作为预报穿越副高北上台风路径的有效因子,其中某些参数还对穿越副高北上台风路径具有较长时效的预报意义。Abstract: As shown in a statistic analysis of the relationship between typhoons moving northward through the Subtropical High and multiple environmental parameters, a number of initial environmental parameters distribute and change in such a way that they favour the future northward typhoon movement through the Subtropical High. They are efficient in contributing to forecasts of such tracks and some of them have longer period of validity.
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