赤道中东太平洋海温和北极海冰与夏季长江流域旱涝的相关
CORRELATIONS BETWEEN DROUGHT/FLOOD IN YANGTSE RIVER VALLEY AND ANOMALIES OF CENTRAL-EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC SST AND ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT
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摘要: 夏季长江流域旱涝形成不仅归因于大尺度夏季风环流(包括西太平洋副高)系统和热带海温的异常,而且极地热汇作用造成的冷空气活动异常也必须同时引起注意。事实上,许多研究已经表明,El Nino(或La Nina)事件和夏季长江流域旱涝关系并不简单,例如,El Nino年常对应于干旱,但是La Nina年长江流域夏季也可能干旱。显然,试图用海温这一单因子来解释旱涝成因存在着明显的因难。Abstract: Correlations between the drought/flood in the Yangtse River valley and anomalies of central-eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (CEPSST) and Arctic sea ice extent are examined by using observational data. The leading results show that,the drought and/or flood in June is noticeably associated with the anomalies of CEPSST in April-June and Arctic sea ice extent over the northern Pacific in January-March, but the drought/flood in July only with anomalies of Arctic sea ice extent over the northern tlantic rather than with those of CEPSST. Therefore, it may come to a conclusion that polar sea ice is also an important factor inducing the short-term climatic changes in comparison with the equatorial SST.
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