925hPa资料对高度场分析和预报的影响
THE IMPACT OF 925HPA DATA ON HEIGHT ANALYSIS AND FORECAST
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摘要: 通过连续15天的平行业务数值预报试验,详细地分析了925hPa资料的应用对高度场分析和预报的影响.结果表明,925hPa资料的加入对印度洋西北部及马来西亚至菲律宾以南热带地区的分析影响较大,对其余地区影响较小。总的来说对形势场分析影响不很大,且对低层的影响大于中高层。同时,可以明显地减小从P面分析场到模式σ面的垂直插值误差。此外,对24小时预报场的影响小于对初始场的影响,同时对模式积分的平稳性和预报检验结果有比较明显的提高和改善.Abstract: The impact of utilizing 925hPa data on the analysis and forecast of height fields is analyzed detail in this paper by taking parrellel operational numerical experiments which last 15 days continually. The results show that,impact of adding 925hPa data into analysisa on height analysis is large, in north western Indian Ocean and the belt from malayzia to the tropical area south to Philippines, and is small, in other areas within the modael domain. Meanwhile, the impact on analysis of the general field is not very large as a whole, which is larger on lower level than on middle and upper levels. The errors result from vertical interpolations from the P-surface analysis field to the model o-surfaces can be remarkablly reduced as well. In addition, the impact on the 24 hour forecast fields is less than on the initial fields, while the stability for the model integration is raised and the results for forecast verification are obviously improved.
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Key words:
- 925hPa data /
- Numerical weather prediction /
- Result analysis
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