1993年世界气候异常原因及大气对东传型ENSO事件响应的诊断分析
A DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS OF THE CAUSE FOR ANOMALOUS WORLD CLIMATE IN 1993 AND THE CHARACTERISTICS OF ATMOSPHERE CORRESPONDING TO EASTWARDTRANSMITTING ENSO EVENT
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摘要: 利用美国NOAA-CAC、夏威夷大学、中国气象局提供的热带太平洋海温、水位及风场资料和"TOGA-COARE"(1992年11月-1993年2月)提供的赤道西太平洋深层海温资料,对1993年全球大气及热带海洋异常状况作了诊断分析。认为1993年世界气象灾害频频发生的原因是:(1)大气环流的异常变化对1993年东传型ENSO事件的响应几乎同步。(2)1991、1993年两次东传型ENSO事件在短期内相继发生,是引起副高持续异常,并达到近40多年来最强和西风带槽脊异常变化的重要原因。(3)由于1992年赤道中Abstract: In this paper,based on the measuremcnts of sea temperature,sea level and wind field at high and low-level atmosphere provided by NOAA-CAC and Hawaii University of U.S.A.,and the National Meteorological Bureau of PRC,together with the sea temperature data in the western equatorial Pacific provided by TOGA-COARE project(Nov.1992-Feb.1993),the variability of global atmospheric and tropical oceanic anomalies are analyzed diagnostically.It is confirmed that the main cause for world meteorological catastrophe in 1993 is closely related to the following features in that(1)the anomalous variation of atmosphere circulation has almost synchronous response to the eastward transmitting ENSO event of 1992/1993;(2) the two eastward transmitting ENSO events of 1991 and 1993 within a short period is an important factor causing the persistence of anomalous variation of subtropical high and making subtropical high the strongest one for about 40 years,and the anomalous variation of trough and ridge of westerly belt;(3)due to the persistence of anomalous warm water in the central cquatorial Pacific in 1992,the position of subtropical high ridge line in the western Pacific is more to the south and westward stretch ridge point of subtropical high more to the west in 1993.
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