近百年长江中游旱涝的变化
VARIATIONS OF FLOODS AND DROUGHT IN MIDDLE REACHES OF CHANGJIANG RIVER VALLEY DURING THE LAST 100 YEARS
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摘要: 利用史料和器测雨量记录重建的近百年长江中游区域平均逐年旱涝等级指数序列研究了旱涝变化特征。发现:(1)20世纪前涝后旱;(2)22年、5─6年和2─3年的准周期振动;(3)6个交替出现的旱涝阶段。Abstract: An index series of mean year-to-year categories for drought and flood in middle reaches of Changjiang river valley, reconstructed using historic data and raingauge records for the past 100 years, is used to study the variations. It is found that flooding mostly occurs in the early part of this century while drought dominates the latter half; there are quasi-periodic oscillations of 22 years, 5-6 years and 2-3 years; drought and flood alternate in 6 stages.
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Key words:
- Climatic change /
- Drought and flood /
- The last 100 years /
- Middle reaches of
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