“全球变暖”背景下的全球温度时空变化特征
THE TIME-SPACE VARIATION FEATURES OF TEMPERATURE UNDER THE BACKGROUND OF GLOBAL WARMING
-
摘要: 通过对各种温度资料所作的统计分析,得到全球变暖背景下的全球温度的时空变化特征。结果表明:二十世纪初以来,总体来讲全球、南半球、北半球均出现了强烈的增温;这种增温过程中存在着很大的地区差异和季节差异,甚至有些区域在某些时段出现了很强的降温;南北半球在这些变化过程中表现出了很大的差异;对流层上层的温度变化要强于对流层下层的温度变化;冬季的增温要明显地高于夏季,冬夏温差有减小的趋势。Abstract: Based on various data of the temperature, the time-space variation features of temperature under the background of Global Warming have been analyzed. It has been found that each of the global temperature and the hemispheric temperature has increased intensely in the 20th century. There is very large regional and seasonal difference in the course of increasing between the two hemispheres. Some intense fall in temperature has been found in some months and some regions. And the temperature variation in the upper troposphere is more intense than in the lower troposphere. The wanning in winter is higher than in summer and there is a decrease of the difference between the winter's temperature and the summer's.
-
Key words:
- Global Wanning /
- temperature /
- various layers /
- time-space variation feature
-
[1] SANTER B D, HNILO J J, WIGLEY T M L, et al. Uncertainties in observationally based estimates of temperature change in the free atmosphere[J].Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 1999, 104: 6305-6333. [2] SANTER B D, WIGLEY T M L, BOYLE J S, et al. Statistical significance of trends and trend differences in layer-averageatmospheric temperature time series[J].J Geophys Res, 2000, 105: 7337-7356. [3] MANN ME, BRADLEY RS, HUGHES MK. Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries[J].Nature, 1998, 392: 779-787. [4] 魏凤英, 曹鸿兴. 中国、北半球和全球的气温突变分析及其趋势研究[J].大气科学, 1995, 19: 140-148. [5] 王绍武, 叶瑾琳. 近百年全球气候变暖分析[J].大气科学, 1995, 19: 545-553. [6] 林学椿, 于淑秋, 唐国利. 全国近百年温度序列[J].大气科学, 1995, 19: 525-534. [7] 曹杰, 陶云, 田永丽. 时间序列转折突变点检测的线性函数方法[J].高原气象, 2002, 21: 518-521. [8] 丁裕国, 刘晶森, 余锦华. 近百年全球平均气温年代际变化型态的低频变率特征[J].热带气象学报, 2001, 17: 193-203. [9] FOMBY, THOMAS B, TIMOTHY J, et al. The application of size-robust trend statistics to global-warming temperature series[J].Journal of Climate, 2002, 15: 117-123. [10] 王绍武. 全球气候变暖的检测及成因分析[J].应用气象学报, 1993, 4: 226-234. [11] HALL, ALEX, SYUKURO Manabe. The role of water vapor feedback in unperturbed climate variability and global warming[J].Journal of Climate, 1999, 12: 2327-2346. [12] KUSHNER Paul J, ISAAC M Held, THOMAS L Delworth. Southern hemisphere atmospheric circulation response toglobal warming[J].Journal of Climate, 2001, 14: 2238-2249. [13] WATTERSON I G. Interpretation of simulated global warming using a simple model[J].Journal of Climate, 2000, 13: 202-215. [14] LEROY, STEPHEN S. Optimal detection of global warming using temperature profiles: a methodology[J].Journal of Climate, 1999, 12: 1185-1198. [15] ANGELL J K. Variations and trends in tropospheric and stratospheric global temperatures, 1958-87[J].Journal of Climate, 1988, 1: 1296-1313. [16] WIGLEY P D. Testimony to the U.S. Senate on the greenhouse effect[J].Climate Monitor, 1986, 15: 69-77. [17] KALNAY E, KANAMITSU M, KISTLER R, et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project [J].Bull Amer Meteor Soc, 1996, 77: 437-472. [18] 江志红, 张强, 屠其璞, 等. 南北半球平均温度年代际振荡的非均衡性及其对变暖显著性的影响[J].热带气象学报, 2003, 15: 122-136. [19] 龚道溢, 王绍武. 恢复近百年北半球500hPa高度场的试验[J].热带气象学报, 2000, 16: 148-154.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 859
- HTML全文浏览量: 6
- PDF下载量: 1111
- 被引次数: 0