影响辽东半岛的热带气旋降水分析
THE ANALYSIS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE PRECIPITATION AFFECTING THE LIAODONG PENINSULA
-
摘要: 选取移动路径和转向趋势极为相似的两个热带气旋——9711(Winnie)和9406(Tim)为例,对其路径、降水量、移动速度进行对比分析,结果表明,Winnie路径偏东,转向后移动速度增幅大,在辽东半岛地区的降水量大;Tim路径偏西,转向后移动速度增幅小,强降水偏西。并针对其在辽东半岛造成的降水量的差异,采用NCEP全球分析资料,诊断分析其环境流场和结构特征,分析表明,除了地形和海洋的影响,副热带高压位置、高低空急流和锋区与辽东半岛地区的强降水有直接关系。Winnie影响期间,有利、稳定的副高位置使来自东Abstract: Winnie(9711) and Tim(9406) are two tropical cyclones whose track and trend of direction turning are similar.Their tracks,precipitation and moving velocity are used in comparison and analysis.The results show that the track of Winnie is to the east,its increment of moving velocity is bigger after turning,and the precipitation over Liaodong Peninsula is larger;The track of Tim is to the west,its enhancement of moving velocity is smaller,and the center of severe precipitation is in North China.For their precipitation difference over Liaodong Peninsula,NCEP reanalysis 2.5–degree grid data was performed to diagnose and analyze the large-scale conditions and structural features of Winnie and Tim.The analyses show that the location of Subtropical High(SH),upper-level and lower-level jets and frontal zones are closely related to the heavy rainfall over Liaodong Peninsula,besides impacts of the topography and the sea.During the life cycle of Winnie,the favorable and stable SH caused the transportation of moist water vapor over Liaodong Peninsula,barred the low pressure system from moving easterly,and sustained the duration of precipitation.The coupling of upper-level and lower-level jets in the updraft field,the pumping of intense field of divergence in the upper troposphere and the transportation southerly of higher potential vorticity were favorable for cyclone's development and intensification.The proper intensity of cold air from the west and east made Winnie extratropical transition(ET),formed extratropical cyclone(EC) and produced severe precipitation.During the life cycle of Tim,the center of SH is to the west and north,the coupling of upper-level and lower-level jets in the downdraft field and the intensity of divergence in the upper troposphere were weaker,whose value is merely one-eighths of that of Winnie,were not favorable for the development and intensification of the cyclone.Tim located in the rear of a high-level trough and obtained negative vorticity advection,with the effect of the feeble cold air from the east,only formed weak cold front in North China,and precipitation on Liaodong Peninsula was less than 10 mm.
-
Key words:
- Tropical cyclone /
- Liaodong peninsula /
- comparative analysis /
- severe precipitation
-
[1] 梁军,陈联寿,吴士杰,等.影响黄渤海域热带气旋的灾害分析[J].自然灾害学报,2006,待刊. [2] 梁军,陈联寿.影响辽东半岛热带气旋运动、强度和影响的特征[J].热带气象学报,2005,21(4):410-419. [3] 仇永炎.北方盛夏台风暴雨的天气型及其年际变率[J].气象,1997,23(7):3-9. [4] 陶祖钰,田佰军,黄伟.登陆台风暴雨和台风的不对称结构[J].热带气象学报,1994,10(1):69-77. [5] 李英,陈联寿,王继志.登陆热带气旋长久维持与迅速消亡的大尺度特征[J].气象学报,2004,62(2):167-179. [6] 李英,陈联寿,徐祥德.登陆热带气旋维持的次天气尺度环流特征[J].气象学报,2004,62(3):257-268. [7] 孟智勇,徐祥德,陈联寿.9406号台风与中纬度系统相互作用的中尺度特征[J].气象学报,2002,60(1):31-39. [8] 朱官忠,赵从兰.登陆北上热带气旋的特大暴雨落区探讨[J].气象,1998,24(11):16-21. [9] 张善君,朱官忠,曹钢锋.华北地区登陆北上热带气旋的暴雨增幅研究[J].南京气象学院学报,1995,18(3):455-459. [10] 王世平.埃尔尼诺事件的判据、分类和特征[J].海洋学报,1991,13(5):611-620. [11] 叶英,董波.1994/1995年西太平洋热带气旋气候特征与热带海洋和大气环流分析[J].海洋预报,1996,14(2):47-51. [12] 杨引明,陶祖钰.上海"0185"特大暴雨热带云团的研究[C]// 第十二届全国热带气旋科学讨论会论文摘要文集 2002:281-286. [13] 陈联寿,丁一汇.西太平洋台风概论[M].北京:科学出版社,1979:31-39,30-311. [14] 陆汉城,杨国祥.中尺度天气原理和预报[M].北京:气象出版社,2000:261-264.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1135
- HTML全文浏览量: 0
- PDF下载量: 1061
- 被引次数: 0