NCEP和ECMWF资料表征南海夏季风的差异
DIFFERENCES OF SOUTH CHINA SEA SUMMER MONSOON DERIVED BY NCEP AND ECMWF REANALYSIS DATA
-
摘要: 比较美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)和欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的再分析资料,分析了二者用低层风场表征南海夏季风上的差异。结果表明,NCEP得到的南海夏季风指数有明显的减小趋势,而ECMWF则没有;二者在年际尺度上都能较好地表征南海夏季风强度,而年代际尺度上有明显的位相差。与西沙站的探空资料比较结果表明,NCEP在经向风上更接近观测资料,而经向风的趋势变化正是西沙站西南风减小趋势的主要贡献项;ECMWF资料在年代际尺度变化上更接近观测资料。与1998年南海夏季风试验SCSMEX的再分析资料比较显示,NCEP资料在空间上与SCSMEX资料更相似。
-
关键词:
- 美国国家环境预报中心 /
- 欧洲中期天气预报中心 /
- 再分析资料 /
- 南海夏季风
Abstract: Analyzing the differences of South China Sea Summer Monsoon(SCSSM) denoted by lower tropospheric winds from the NCEP and ECMWF reanalysis data,and the results indicate that SCSSM indices by NCEP data trend to decrease and that by ECMWF data have very slight trend.On interannual timescale,they are consistent with each other,while there are phase differences on interdecadal timescale.The results by comparing them with the sounding data from Xisha station show that NCEP meridional winds,which play a main role in the trend of southwesterly over Xisha station,are in better agreement with the observations.On the other hand,ECMWF data are probably nearer reality on the interdecadal timescale.To more degrees,the NCEP data show a better spatial similar to 1998 SCSMEX data than the ECMWF data.-
Key words:
- NCEP /
- ECMWF /
- reanalysis data /
- South China Sea Summer Monsoon
-
[1] 徐影,丁一汇,赵宗慈.美国NCEP--NCAR近50年全球再分析资料在我国气候变化研究中可信度的初步分析[J].应用气象学报,2001,12(3):337-347. [2] YANG S,LAU K M,KIM K M.Variations of the East Asian jet stream and Asian-Pacific-American winter climate anomalies [J].J Climate,2002,15:306-325. [3] RUSTICUCCI M M,KOUSKY V E.A comparative study of maximum and minimum temperatures over argentina:NCEP-NCAR reanalysis versusstation data [J].J Climate,2002,15(15):2089-2101. [4] 魏丽,李栋梁.青藏高原地区NCEP新再分析地面通量资料的检验[J].高原气象,2003,22(5):478-487. [5] 赵天保,艾丽坤,冯锦明.NCEP再分析资料和中国站点观测资料的分析与比较[J].气候与环境研究,2004,9(2):278-294. [6] TRENBERTH K E,STEPANIAK D P.A Pathological Problem with NCEP Reanalyses in the Stratosphere [J].J Climate,2002,16(6):690-695. [7] RENFREW I A,MOORE G W K,GUEST P S,et al.A Comparison of Surface Layer and Surface Turbulent Flux Observations over the Labrador Sea with ECMWF Analyses and NCEP Reanalyses[J].J Phys Oceanography,2002,32(2):383-400. [8] 赵宗慈.当前气候变化研究的热点问题-IUGG2003会议介绍[J].气候变化通讯,2003,2(4):14-15. [9] ANNAMALAI H,SLINGO J M,SPERBER K R,et al.The Mean Evolution and Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon:Comparison of ECMWF and NCEP-NCAR Reanalyses[J].Mon Wea Rev,1999,127(6):1157-1186. [10] WEBSTER P J,YANG S.Monsoon and ENSO:Selectively interactive systems [J].Quart J Roy Meteor Soc,1992,118(507):877-926. [11] 梁建茵,吴尚森,游积平.南海夏季风的建立及强度变化[J].热带气象学报,1999,15(2):97-105. [12] 吴尚森,粱建茵.南海夏季风强度指数及其变化特征[J].热带气象学报,2001,17(4):337-344. [13] 吴尚森,梁建茵,李春晖.南海夏季风强度与我国汛期降水的关系[J].热带气象学报,2003,19(增):25-36. [14] 丁一汇,李崇银,柳艳菊,等.南海季风试验研究[J].气候与环境研究,2002,7(2):202-208.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1173
- HTML全文浏览量: 0
- PDF下载量: 1388
- 被引次数: 0