应用于强对流天气预报的模式探空产品
MODEL-GENERATED SOUNDING FOR STRONG CONVECTIVE WEATHER FORECASTING APPLICATION
-
摘要: 仿照实测探空,根据数值模式站点预报的气象要素设计了包含十种常用稳定度指数的斜T-lnP模式探空图。在综合评估的基础上,设计了一种模式探空的订正和产品的形成方法,并制作产品显示系统,它可以方便地提供地面站点模式探空和交互式模式探空的图形产品。模式探空产品的统计评估和具体强对流天气的个例分析中表明,模式探空产品对强对流天气预报有帮助。Abstract: Following sounding observation,a model-generated sounding skew T-lnp picture was designed,which includes ten kinds of stability indexes based on model output.A model-generated sounding correcting method and its products forming method were developed.a display system was also created,which could provide model sounding pictures of surface station and alternation products conveniently.A long period assessment and a convective weather case study showed that the model-generated sounding could help in the forecasting of convective weather.
-
Key words:
- model-generated sounding /
- stability /
- strong convective weather
-
[1] 朱临洪.利用单站探空资料制作拉萨降水预报[J].气象,20(4):56-58. [2] 王沛霖.珠江三角洲春季龙卷发生的环境条件[J].热带气象学报,1996,12(1):60-65. [3] 王沛霖.台风影响期间珠江三角洲局地强风暴的大暴雨发生的环境条件[J].热带气象学报,1995,11(4):375-378. [4] 康宁,李德友.非探空站点资料的获取及应用[J].气象,22(9):53-55. [5] HART R E,FORBES R S,GRUMM R H.The use of hourly model-generated sounding to forecast mesoscale phenomena PartⅠ:Initial assessment in forecasting warn-season phenomena[J].Wea forecasting,1998,13:1165-1185. [6] HART R E,FORBES R S,GRUMM R H.The use of hourly model-generated sounding to forecast mesoscale phenomena Part Ⅱ:Initial assessment in forecasting nonconvective storng wind gusts[J].Wea forecasting,1999,14:461-469. [7] 闫敬华.广州中尺度模式局地要素预报性能分析[J].应用气象学报,2001,12(1):21-29.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1043
- HTML全文浏览量: 0
- PDF下载量: 1800
- 被引次数: 0