南岭山地高速公路雾区能见度预报系统

吴兑; 邓雪娇; 游积平; 黄健; 赵博; 毕雪岩; 万齐林; 梁建茵; 闫敬华; 彭涛涌

南岭山地高速公路雾区能见度预报系统

1.
中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所, 广东, 广州, 510080;中山大学环境科学与工程学院大气科学系, 广东, 广州, 510275
2.
中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所, 广东, 广州, 510080
3.
中山大学环境科学与工程学院大气科学系, 广东, 广州, 510275

基金项目: 广东省高速公路有限公司项目“京珠高速粤境北段云岩雾区能见度预测预报系统建设”资助

计量
- 文章访问数: 1038
- HTML全文浏览量: 0
- PDF下载量: 1521
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2005-09-01
- 修回日期: 2006-01-23

FORECAST SYSTEM OF VISIBILITY AT SPEEDWAY FOGGY AREA AT NANLING MOUNTAINS

1.
Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou, Guangzhou 510080, China;Department of Atmospheric Science, the School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
2.
Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou, Guangzhou 510080, China
3.
Department of Atmospheric Science, the School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China

摘要

摘要: 在研究南岭山地浓雾的气候规律,开展了2次多学科综合野外观测,对典型个例进行了天气学分析、雾的宏观结构特征分析、雾的微物理特征分析,在利用数值试验分析了雾生成的物理机制等研究的基础上,研制开发了4种南岭山地京珠高速公路云岩雾区的能见度预报方法,包括:中尺度数值模式产品释用方法、结构预测方法、天气学指标预报方法和动态统计预报方法;并研制了相应的自动化程度高的预测预报系统,与京珠高速公路粤境北段通车同步投入准业务运行,使用雾区路段的5套自动气象站和能见度仪资料,制作的集成预报结果为高速公路行车安全提供服务,经过各种方法的独立预报检验和准业务运行服务的预报结果检验,预报准确率比较高,提供服务的集成预报准确率可达83.3%。
- 南岭山地 /
- 高速公路 /
- 雾区 /
- 能见度预报系统
Abstract: Based on the study of climatological patterns of fog,two multi-discipline synthetic field observation, synoptic analysis of specific examples,analyses of macro-construction and micro-physical features of fog and physical forming mechanism of fog were developed by using numerical model at Nanling mountainous area,four forecast methods of visibility.They were for the Yunyan foggy section of Beijing-Zhuhai Freeway,including meso-scale numerical model,interpretation prediction method,synoptic index prediction method and dynamical statistic prediction method.A comprehensive prediction and forecast system of high automation was established. In phase with the operation of the freeway,the system was put into quasi-operation using data from five automatic meteorological stations and visibility meters.The synthetic prediction products are put into service for the safety operation of the freeway.The forecast accuracy for visibility is high,reaching 83.3% as shown in various tests for specific forecast methods and quasi-operational forecast service.
- Nanling mountains /
- freeway /
- foggy area /
- forecast system of visibility

HTML全文

参考文献(10)

[1]	吴兑,邓雪娇.环境气象学与特种气象预报[M].北京:气象出版社,2001:23-65.
[2]	吴兑,邓雪娇,叶燕翔,等.南岭大瑶山浓雾雾水的化学成分研究[J].气象学报,2004,62(4):476-485.
[3]	邓雪娇,吴兑,叶燕翔.南岭山地浓雾的物理特征[J].热带气象学报,2002,18(3):227-236.
[4]	冯民学,袁成松,卞光辉,等.沪宁高速公路无锡段春季浓雾的实时监测和若干特征[J].气象科学,2003,23(4):435-445.
[5]	王淑英,孟燕军,赵习芳,等.北京高速公路大气能见度与气象条件的相关分析[J].气象科技,2002,30(5):306-311.
[6]	徐萌,居为民,庸勇,等.城市热岛效应在沪宁高速公路大雾监测中应用的初步探讨[J].遥感信息,1999(4):45-46.
[7]	万齐林,吴兑,叶燕翔.南岭局地小地形背风坡增雾作用的分析[J].高原气象,2004,23(5):709-713.
[8]	闫敬华.广州中尺度模式局地要素预报性能分析[J].应用气象学报,2001,12(1):21-29.
[9]	PENG T,ZHONG W.Application of blown-up in reverse alteration of weather systems[J].Systems Analysis Modelling Simulation,199833 (4):431-438.
[10]	姚棣荣,俞善贤.基于PRESS准则选取预报因子的逐步算法[J].大气科学,1992,16(2):129-135.