1522强台风“彩虹”螺旋雨带中衍生龙卷的超级单体演变与机理研究Ⅰ：谱宽和速度

王炳赟; 魏鸣; 范广洲; 杜爱军

doi:10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2018.04.004

1522强台风“彩虹”螺旋雨带中衍生龙卷的超级单体演变与机理研究Ⅰ：谱宽和速度

doi: 10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2018.04.004

王炳赟^{1, 3},
魏鸣^{1, 2, ,},
范广洲^{1, 3},
杜爱军⁴

1.
南京信息工程大学/气候与气象灾害协同创新中心，江苏南京 210044
2.
中国气象科学研究院/强天气国家重点实验室，北京 100081
3.
成都信息工程大学大气科学学院/四川省高原大气与环境重点实验室四川成都 610225
4.
重庆市巴南区气象局，重庆 401320

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目 41675029

国家自然科学基金项目 91644226

国家自然科学基金项目 91537214

国家自然科学基金项目 41405063

国家重点基础研究发展计划973项目 2013CB430102

国家重点研发计划“全球变化及应对”重点专项 2016YFA0602004

地理信息科学教育部重点实验室开放研究基金资助项目 KLGIS2015A01

中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题 2016LASW-B12

江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划项目 KYZZ-0246

重庆市气象局青年基金项目 QNJJ-201710

详细信息

通讯作者:
魏鸣, 女，河北省人，教授，主要从事大气遥感与灾害性天气预报研究。E-mail: mingwei@nuist.edu.cn

中图分类号: P444
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2017-07-06
- 修回日期: 2017-12-18
- 刊出日期: 2018-08-01

THE EVOLUTION AND MECHANISM OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF STRONG TYPHOON MUJIGAE (1522). PART Ⅰ: SPECTRUM WIDTH AND MESOCYCLONE SPEED

Bing-yun WANG^{1, 3},
Ming WEI^{1, 2
, ,},
Guang-zhou FAN^{1, 3},
Ai-jun DU⁴

1.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
2.
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
3.
College of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information Technology/Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu 610225, China
4.
Meteorological Bureau of Ba'nan City, Chongqing 401320, China

摘要

摘要: 为揭示多普勒雷达速度谱宽资料对1522号台风“彩虹”螺旋雨带中衍生龙卷的超级单体演变规律的指示作用，基于常规观测资料、多普勒雷达资料和ECWMF再分析资料，分析3个衍生龙卷的超级单体速度谱宽和中气旋速度演变特征。研究表明，速度谱宽可提前10~30 min预示强对流风暴的变化。根据速度谱宽σ与湍能耗散率ε的关系分析，提出了谱宽变化与超级单体内中气旋和龙卷发生发展关系的概念模型。当对流单体进入新的发展阶段时，谱宽值加大呈增强状态；当对流单体处于维持稳定阶段时，谱宽值减小则呈减弱状态。衍生汕尾海丰水龙卷的中气旋最大切向速度19.5 m/s，属中等强度中气旋。衍生顺德龙卷和番禺龙卷的中气旋最大切向速度＞27 m/s，均属强中气旋。用多普勒雷达中气旋算法识别的中气旋在距离较远（＞80 km）和较近(＜17 km)距离上有漏报现象，人工纠正有利于更正预报结果，更准确地指导防灾减灾。
- 台风 /
- 超级单体 /
- 中气旋 /
- 龙卷 /
- 谱宽 /
- 湍流 /
- 径向速度
Abstract: Based on the conventional observations data of China, Doppler radar data and reanalysis data of ECWMF, the evolution and mechanism of three supercells that induced tornadoes in the outer rainbands were analyzed during the landing of "Mujigae", and this is the first part of the spectrum width and speed from radar data. The varieties of spectrum width could give an indication approximately 10-30 minutes earlier than the actual event, and evolutions of mesocyclones and tornadoes in the three supercells, and the relationships between spectrum width and mesocyclones and tornadoes in supercells were discovered based on the relationship between speed width and turbulence dissipation rate. According to the criteria of mesocyclone recognition guidelines, the maximum rotational velocity of the mesocyclone induced waterspout in Shanwei was 19.5 m/s, classified into moderate mesocyclone, and the velocity of the two mesocyclones induced tornadoes in Guangzhou were more than 27 m/s, classified into strong mesocyclone. The mesocyclone automatically detected by Doppler algorithm missed targets on ranges less than 17km and more than 80 km, therefore manual correction is needed to have more accurate results to guide disaster prevention and mitigation.
- hurricane /
- supercell /
- tornado /
- speed width /
- hook echo /
- spectrum /
- radial velocity

HTML全文

图 1 2015年10月4日08时台风“彩虹”外围螺旋雨带地面流场分析(a)、45004探空图(b)、汕尾海丰龙卷附近6601824自动气象站(c)、汕尾上空散度空间分布(d)

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图 2 汕尾水龙卷中气旋所在强对流单体的谱宽时空演变CAPPI图

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图 3 佛山龙卷中气旋所在强对流单体的谱宽时空演变CAPPI图

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图 4 番禺龙卷中气旋所在强对流单体的谱宽时空演变CAPPI图

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图 5 速度谱宽σ与平均动能、脉动动能、热能和功之间的关系(a)和谱宽σ在对流风暴、超级单体及龙卷中的指示作用的概念模型(b)

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图 6 衍生汕尾水龙卷(a)、顺德陆龙卷(b)、番禺陆龙卷(c)的中气旋强度参数和衍生汕尾水龙卷中气旋风暴相对径向速度(d)

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