珠江三角洲降水数值预报的初步试验
A PRELIMINARY TEST WITH NUMERICAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE PEARL RIVER DELTA
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摘要: 以广州区域气象中心的实时资料库和大气所的细网格降水数值预报模式为基础,在VAX6220机上建立了珠江三角洲中尺度准业务降水数值预报系统,并从1990年5月20日至6月10日进行了连续22天的试验,对结果的分析表明,系统能稳定及时地提供12小时和24小时的预报产品,对短期降水预报具有一定参考价值。Abstract: Based on real-time data base of the Guangzhou Regional Meteorological Center and fine mesh precipitation NWP model from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academia Sinica, a quasi-operational mesoscale numerical rainfall forecast system for the Pearl River Delta was set up on VAX 6220 and went through a 22-day long test from May 20 through June 10, 1990. Study of the result shows that the system is able to provide stable and timely products of forecast for 12 and 2-1 hrs. ahead, having some degree of reference value for short-term rainfall forecast.
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