优化预报技巧集成方案及其应用
A SYNTHESIZING PLAN WITH OPTIMAL FORECAST TECHNIQUE AND ITS APPLICATION
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摘要: 参照现行的“技巧水平”评分办法,评定了常用集成预报方法的技巧水平。通过分析评定结果,引进最优化技术,导出了高技巧水平的集成预报新方案。集成结果优于线性回归等集成方法。Abstract: In this paper the current synthesizing methods' forecast techniques are assessed in accordance with existing marking method called “technique level”.The plan with a high forecast technique level is deduced by analysing the marked result and introducing optimization technique.The results have the advantage over the linear regression etc.
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Key words:
- Technique level /
- Synthesizing forecast /
- Optimization technique
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